This class as a whole is very weak when compared to recent years. Notably, I have found that Film Grades from the right sources provide a very effective balance to the Z-Score and, as such, are an added feature this year. John Metchie 69.47. Jameson has efficiency metrics of Yards Per Route Run and market share that are among the best possible for a player in any circumstance, let alone doing so while at Alabama. In 2022, the hope is he can slide into the Marques Valdes-Scantling role as the deep threat. Hell still be recovering from a torn ACL in training camp and is likely to be limited at the start of the 2022 season. The 2022 NFL Draft class offered a plethora of talent that will help replenish dynasty fantasy football rosters. Instead, hell likely split touches with Penny assuming Chris Carsons career is over.
The offensive line in Atlanta is still a mess, but that also increases the likelihood of oft-injured starter Marcus Mariota being sidelined at some point. A primary concern is who is getting him the ball. 1. Oh, he also showed at Florida that he can be used as a receiver out of the backfield. 2 tight end after trading Noah Fant, enter third-round pick Greg Dulcich. Related: NFL defense rankings Huge shakeups for top 20 defense before training camp.
Accuracy is also a problem and he rarely needed to progress through reads in college. The New York Jets were determined to find a go-to weapon for quarterback Zach Wilson.
Brown. The ultimate, personalized mobile sports experience, Cardinals, Murray ink 5-year extension reportedly worth $230.5M, theScore's 2022 Fantasy Football Draft Kit, Report: Browns to sign Rosen as team awaits Watson ruling, Patriots forego offensive, defensive coordinator titles, Cowboys bring back white helmet, throwbacks for Thanksgiving game. Marcus Mariota isnt exactly comforting for 2022, but we are projecting long-term and expect them to add someone much better by next year. Check out all of the tools we offer to help you dominate your league, including our, What Is A Dynasty Fantasy Football League. Here youll find our fantasy football rooking rankings by position. However, the film gurus still rave about his ability, especially as a route runner. Among those WRs listed, only Robinson was hand-picked by this coaching staff. Film grades are one of the new additions this year. Just dont expect much from him this fall. Hes better for the fantasy outlooks of the Steelers receivers than Big Ben, but Pickett doesnt offer much upside to be a fantasy starter. Hindsight 2021: Defensive Linemen Surprise! These were collected from the database of Peter Howard found@pahowdy. True or False? Exciting Wide Receivers, Athletic freak, small-school standout, and Senior Bowl standout, Best landing spot on Earth in a wide-open GB receiver room, Solid production at one of the best schools in the nation at Alabama, Slides immediately into the WR2/3 role behind Cooks, PIT is notoriously good at drafted WRs; best in class breakout age, Heavy competition with Diontae and Claypool, Attractive profile and unreal dominance in production, but very little in competition. Your email address will not be sold or shared with anyone else. Chicagos receiving corps is underwhelming with Darnell Mooney the only real threat to take the largest percentage of targets. Below you will find each category, followed by a short explanation of why they are used. PFF's Fantasy Football Expected Points tool is primarily used for identifying potential over and undervalued players. Career production is the most meaningful category in the Z-Score next to draft capital. 86 in third round of 2022 NFL Draft, Atlanta Falcons draft Desmond Ridder with 74th pick, evaluating the intriguing fit, NFL QB Rankings Check our top-20 quarterbacks, find out why Josh Allen is No. We might even see flashes of it in his rookie season, assuming the Tennessee Titans use him in some RPO packages. He should be the Jets' lead back in Week 1. Its also a testament to a players talent, as better players are sought after more fervently by scouting departments. In its fourth season, the WR Z-Scores are here to serve you with a complete analytic view of your favorite prospects. He had a strong early showing in his career that slowly diminished as the years went byculminating in a final senior season where he was out-produced by both junior Garrett Wilson and emerging star sophomore Jaxon Smith-Njigba. We dont love the quarterback situation in Washington and Dotsons ceiling is limited, but he is a nice value in the dynasty rookie rankings. His attractive profile is led by his impressive career yards per team pass attempt at 2.7, top-3 in class. 1. For year one, rookie rankings, defer to my redraft rankings and projections when released with Dynasty Nerds and FantasyPros. There are varying NFL comparisons, ranging from Golden Tate to D.J. Dynasty Rankings & Trade ValuesQB | RB | WR | TE | Rookies | Draft Picks, Scott Taetsch / Getty Images Sport / Getty, Get the latest trending sports news daily in your inbox. You can use this chart to compare players and build realistic trade offers. The 6-foot-2 receiver doesnt make a lot of plays vertically, but his bread and butter is working underneath. This allows me to catch new trends in fresh data points and/or eliminate defective ways of thinking. One area of his game that stands out and will earn a quarterbacks trust quickly, Wilsons catch radius is absurd for a 6-foot receiver. Theres a shot for Pierce to be a low-end RB2 this season in fantasy, even on an underwhelming Texans offense. Just like for NFL teams, fantasy managers must weigh risk vs reward with quarterback Malik Willis. Jaylen Waddle 58.8 pic.twitter.com/CFmKQmhTVF. Burks was the heart and soul of the Arkansas offense and has often drawn comparisons to Deebo Samuel and AJ Brown among the film community. Small School Success: Wide Receiver Hit-Rates Outside of Power-5 Schools, Draft Darts: Gambling on Impactful Running Backs vs. Still, wide receiver is the position that can hopefully carry it into the history books as significant for fantasy purposes.
Related: 2022 fantasy football dynasty rankings. In an effort to help you find trades that could improve your fantasy team, we present the Dynasty Trade Value Chart. Let's explore the historyhttps://t.co/HygVN5kVeT. This may bump Moores cost into unreasonable levels, but Im comfortable having him at the top of my second tier. In addition, we have another highly questionable QB in Daniel Jones, delivering the ball. The small school standout looks like one of the Z-Score models favorite targets in late-1st, early-2nd rounds of your fantasy drafts. Hand size, height, weight, and arm length are the measures used, and the final grade is more of a tiebreaker or red flag in the grades than a stand-alone use. 
The Jets are seen as a murky landing spot, but I personally love everything they have been doing over the past few years as an organization. Film blurbs often mention how he has the best hands among all receivers, along with crisp route running. The 5-foot-10 running back runs with a desire to decleat anyone who tries to tackle him. Julio Jones 87.24. Last and, yes, the least, are physical measurements. Even with one massive athlete on the field, Kyle Pitts, the Falcons will get great use out of another giant. Jerry Jeudy 76.26. 1, Predicting NFL playoff bracket and Super Bowl 2023 winner, NFL defense rankings Huge shakeups for top 20 defense before training camp, Fastest 40 yard dash: Bo Jackson, Tyreek Hill among fastest NFL players ever, New York Giants GM casts doubt on Kadarius Toney trade after spending Day 2 pick on WanDale Robinson. The Fantasy Z-Score returns!! Deselect a ranker by clicking Filters for rostered and available players. A full summary of the 2022 class all in one chart is included here for your viewing pleasure: The #1 ranking wide receiver may come as a surprise to some after being the 6th WR off the board on draft night, but his all-around profile speaks for itself. Similar to his former Alabama teammate, John Metchie III is still recovering from a torn ACL. This is heavily due to his being a late declare and scoring a B- or less in four of the remaining five categories. 
Alec Pierce received a lot of shared comparisons, among them Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Donovan Peoples-Jones. It also tells us the exact year they excelled, which may get lost in career arcs with hyper-efficient final seasons. A stash pick in dynasty rookie rankings, Sam Howell wont see the field in 2022. Hell have a chance for immediate volume in the Saints offense as the WR2, but as we said with most players in this class, its a pick your flavor type of draft. Dynasty Nerds Each final letter grade is representative of what echelon of PPG that player falls into. While the Z-Score has him as a value at WR7 compared to WR9 ADP, his situation is a major turn-off for most fantasy players. Ive seen some comps to Henry Ruggs and DeSean Jackson and think hes somewhere in between. Gain Instant Access to this feature and so much more. Wide receivers who declare early less than four years of college have an increased rate of NFL success to the tune of about four more points per game on average. Drawing some comparisons to Tyler Lockett, wide receiver Jahan Dotson walks into the NFL as a slot weapon for the Washington Commanders.
But all in all neither is that important.
This raises considerable concern for the model when paired with the late breakout, as most players should have their best year in their final season. However, hes the player capable of becoming a superstar at the position. If he irons out his route-running, Dulcich might have a future as a starting tight end with some fantasy appeal. This adds confidence to the metric, knowing it is only included the best by balancing each other out when needed and amplifying it when all align to see the same result.
The Fantasy Z-Score returns once again!
Looking beyond his rookie season, theres a lot of long-term upside based on the size-athleticism combo.
With that said, Metchies route-running ability and instincts can make him a great friend for a young quarterback. His best feature is his film grade among his entire profile, apart from his draft capital. Sort, filter, and export these Remember, these are three-year projections for PPG starting from year 2, not solely rookie year success. Fantasy managers dont have to be as worried about the maturity red flags. Thanks for reading, and stay golden! He might snag a few starts, but theres not as much upside as some want to believe.
A dream scenario for Skyy Moore. Notable sections that have changed are Team Adjusted Efficiency, Physical Metrics, and Film Grade as mentioned earlier. The Fantasy Z-Score to serve you with a complete analytic With several WRs available in this year's draft from smaller programs, @timbmartens digs in Every draft comes with tough choices. But as I noted with the Jets, when they had other players and a new regime, it is wise to bet on the same players that the new regime is betting on. The 2022 NFL Draft is injecting plenty of new faces at premium positions into the league. Brady loves dumping it off to his running backs, we see that every year and White could take Gio Bernards job. If it all comes together, he could be a better version of Jalen Hurts. Jameson Williams 104.82. Funny enough, the Titans traded away Brown specifically to draft Burks. If youre spending a top-20 pick on him, just know he wont see the field much in 2022. Hes likely a FLEX play in his rookie season. Its easy to see why when you stare at a 6-foot-7 player who finished 88th percentile in the 40-yard dash, 89th percentile in wingspan and has long arms. As mentioned above, dont expect elite pass-catching talent like wide receiver JaMarr Chase or tight end Kyle Pitts. This past season had a few surprises for fantasy managers! Carr has chip on shoulder: 'No one thinks anything of' Raide NFL 'overwhelmed' by ticket demand in Germany. Dynasty Trade Analyzer and other tools This adds up to him not only being the best option long-term but also the consensus top option for the 2022 season. Landing with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers can be fantastic for a running back. 
NFL Network mentioned the Panthers coaching staff believes he has the best film among the 2022 quarterback class. When you hear him speak in interviews, he seems to have a deep understanding of the game, how to leverage his strengths, and what he needs to do to develop. However, this profile might not carry the appeal some will build it up to be. https://www.dynastynerds.com/dynasty-deep-sleeper-targets-afc-north/, Is the dynasty community sleeping on JuJu Smith-Schuster? Ironically, Treylon Burks received some NFL comparisons to the man he is taking over for. The AFC north has some interesting players who are primed to potentially make an impact in 2022. Try DLF Premium for only $7.99 with a Monthly Subscription. It might result in a slow start to his 2022 season, especially with Houston not in win-now mode. Sure enough, the combination of all three has shown stronger predictive power than any one by itself. You also gain access to the best dynasty fantasy football resources in the industry. I then adjusted for internal team strength (SRS) and their opponent strength (SOS), found at sports-reference.com. For more information on each of these rookies, as well as the ones who didnt make the cut, check out PFF's 2022 NFL Draft Tracker. These 2022 rookie WR rankings for PPR dynasty leagues are intended to gauge the long-term potential value of players over the next several seasons.
Matt Canadas offense should fit Picketts skills nicely and this is a passer with above-average athleticism. to rush a lot and thats especially true because of his reckless rushing style. Dave Ragone reportedly loved Drake London and the former USC Trojans wide receiver made an overwhelmingly strong impression on the Atlanta Falcons during the pre-draft process. This isnt a knock on Kenneth Walker, the right landing spot would have earned put him No. No Deebo Samuel deal imminent; status unclear for 49ers trai Report: 49ers officially give Garoppolo permission to seek t Former Steelers first-round pick Charles Johnson, veteran of Fantasy: 12-team mock draft with analysis after every round. Make sure you check out my entire top-300 dynasty rankings. Needless to say, the Green Bay Packers love Christian Watson. Moore. The Arizona Cardinals might be trying to replicate the Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert pairing we saw with the Philadelphia Eagles. Whether that barking analogy makes any sense or not, what does make sense is placing your bet on the surest profile in college to be the surest profile in the NFL. Thats precisely why the Buffalo Bills wanted him. Saints WR Michael Thomas, DE Marcus Davenport placed on PUP Bucs sign Rudolph to reported 1-year contract, Fantasy Podcast: 10 training camp storylines to follow. Velus Jones, turning 25 in May, is joining the Bears offense with the plan to use him immediately. The team adjusted market share highlights players who dominated on their team and how good that production was relative to the overall team strength. Back-to-back players with notably poor landing spots. His team-adjusted efficiency ranked worst among the first-round pick wideouts. While not reaching as high of an elite ranking as anyone in the past few classes, hes the closest to having such a profile. He projects as an RB2 in fantasy, losing some PPR appeal because of Carters pass-catching prowess. Robinson remains my favorite 2nd round value at the WR position. Burks feasts on turning screens and quick throws into chunks of yards, using his size (6-foot-2) and speed (4.55 40-yard dash) to create havoc. They are simply one tool in the player valuation toolbox. Morgantown, West Virginia, USA; Iowa State Cyclones running back Breece Hall (28) runs the ball during the second quarter against the West Virginia Mountaineers at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium. He projects with a wide range of outcomes due to his underwhelming career and breakout age and was notably beat out by both Wilson and Olave at Ohio State but also comes with a ceiling that could be best in class. @IDP_Baumer takes a look Now onto Running Backs! The North are filled with plenty of receivers to go grab now. myDLF to Our annual Rookie Draft Guide While some sections remain the same, the Z-Score is constantly evolving to give a holistic picture of a prospects profile. Team adjusted efficiency consists of blending two final season metrics and is good for identifying the players you did the most when on the field in their last showings before the big show. There is just so much risk here. Breece Hall leads the way due to a combination of talent and positional scarcity. He brings the vision, explosiveness and instincts to burst through holes and rip off some big gains. #Nerdherd Members Only | Unisex Fleece Hoodie, #Nerdherd Pennant/Front and Badge/Back - American Apparel T-Shirt. I have long sided with production being far more important than physical metrics, and albeit his size flag is glaring, the new head coach for the Giants, Brian Daboll, doesnt seem to be too concerned either. I still think hes a good bet and that Daboll will be creative enough to use him well. Another plus, his willingness and proficiency as a blocker means he can see the field early.
Without any further ado, lets dive into the 2022 rookie class. How lucky do you feel?
Remember that projections are only a portion of what to consider when evaluating a prospect. If Fournette ever goes down, White could become a strong RB2 in this offense. Certain content reproduced under license. Trey McBride, a 6-foot-4 tight end, is not a real threat in the red zone. The remaining receivers can be found in the overall chart listed above. They are all a solid tier below these top-12, and their projections can give you an idea of what to expect. 2 receiver after training camp, hell be even higher on dynasty rookie rankings. Meanwhile, Michael Gallup (torn ACL) will miss the start of the 2022 season. You could hardly ask for a better pairing than being locked into having Patrick Mahomes as your QB for the foreseeable future. 
Expect him to see the field plenty in 3WR sets, getting some deep shots thrown his way by Dak Prescott. Other concerns arise, however, in the Giants WR room, which is littered with competition in Golladay, Toney, Shepard, and more. 1 rookie wide receiver to draft, Jameson Williams likely isnt the guy.
Reality might be somewhere in between. He does need to polish his route-running and hes not an elite home-run threat, but he can be an outstanding No. Average Yards Per Team Pass Attempt had the strongest single stat correlation to fantasy points in my database, essentially tying draft position. From a fantasy perspective, Whites receiving ability could help him see the field as a rookie.
Give us the quarterback who will be given time to develop over the one who will be rushed and comes with some red flags. He makes some impressive catches for his size, not shying away from contact and willing to contort his body to make grabs against a defensive back. The Denver Broncos needed a No.
Landing with the dirty birds in Atlanta gives him the untethered reins to be the WR1 of their offense, alongside unicorn TE Kyle Pitts. Hes not much of a blocker, potentially limiting his role as a rookie. rankings using the above controls. Market Share of Receiving Yards Per Game of final season, adjusted for team strength via SRS (Simple Rating System), YPRR (Yards Per Route Run) adjusted for team strength via SRS, Measure of Average Receiving Yards Per Team Pass Attempt (college career per game), Dominator Rating per game of final two seasons, adjusted for SRS and SOS to get a full picture of the level of dominance, The earlier they succeed in college, the earlier that success will typically translate to NFL, Correlated historical film grades from 3 sources, including DynastyNerds Nerd Score, into expected fantasy points per game.
With that said, hes got intriguing physical tools and we have more reason to believe hed hold up as a dual-threat quarterback than Matt Corral. Travis Etienne is a top 15 Dynasty RB. Players at less impressive schools need to really dominate to stand out. I hope that this model can provide you with actionable insight into each prospects profile, their pros and cons, and why it matters. Follow the links below to see the trade values for each position. His Team Adjusted Efficiency puts him into a bin of which the lowest scoring player has averaged at least 10 points per game; talk about a good floor. Click on Mandatory Credit: Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports. Hover over green ranking values to view comments by individual rankers. David Bell might have been drafted later than he expected, but this is an ideal situation for the 21-year-old receiver. He immediately lands in an offense with Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool, Pat Freiermuth and Najee Harris as his weapons. For detailed explanations of the process and categories used, please scroll down to the Method Behind the Madness section.
This guy has all the markings of what should have been a first-round selection in the NFL draft, barring one major hurdle: hes tiny. Justin Fields loves throwing vertical and Jones (4.31 40 time) can make plays deep or pile up yards after the catch. Our first late declare WR makes his appearance at number 6. No matter, this is an intriguing situation. Speed (4.39 40-yard dash), power (6-foot-1, 220 lbs) and the ability to break through tackles. I have also found that dominator rating per game of the final two seasons shows more meaning than traditional dominator (final season and best season), but often, these naturally happen to be the same. However, he does a nice job finding ways to get open in the middle of the field. There are things to like about Matt Corral. Including The best dynasty rankings in the industry As such, here are my top-60 dynasty rookies heading into 2022 fantasy football. While there isnt an elite playmaker this year, our 2022 fantasy football rookie rankings should provide some hope for those in all fantasy leagues. In the past seven years, draft capital itself has a historical R-squared of 0.230 to three-year PPG, compared to an R-squared of 0.378 for the Z-Score.
This has led to using a rolling window of no longer than ten years of prospects. Willis is all traits, pretty much everything else needs to be reworked and rushing it increases the chance of him not fulfilling his potential. theScore's Justin Boone was first overall in FantasyPros' Most Accurate Expert Competition in 2019 and finished among the top seven each of his last seven years in the contest.
This is all about opportunity. And while he doesnt score as an other-worldly talent in any other particular category, he is above average in every single one. Of course, Leonard Fournette will be getting a significant chunk of the carries after signing a $21 million contract. Next comes undersized yet super productive standout WanDale Robinson. Of course, hes not worth a top-20 pick in FYP drafts and he slides even further down dynasty rookie rankings if you need something immediately. There is a fiery debate in the fantasy community over who the better Ohio State receiver is coming into the season. Wentz remains a big question mark, and he will very likely be second fiddle to McLaurin for the foreseeable future. The film grade in the Z-Score is a unique weighted blend of these grades so as not to become pigeon-holed into one groups way of seeing a players potential on film. 1 pick, theres a lot of depth in the class. Hes QB1 in our dynasty rankings because this can be a league-winning fantasy player three years from now. Moore finds himself behind Travis Kelce and JuJu Smith-Schuster for targets on underneath routes, but Andy Reid is exactly the coach you want Moore to play for. While comparisons are irrelevant to an analytic profile, it sure paints an attractive picture if his new team can capitalize on his talents in a similar fashion. This was a metric@LordReebsbroke down in further detail here: Taking a look at early vs non-early declare WRs for future fantasy success. Despite this drawback, hes still my favorite value target in rookie drafts. So while Londons market share and dominator are borderline amazing, it gets dinged quite a bit by his lack of surrounding talent to compete with. PFFs Fantasy Strength of Schedule (SoS) metric provides a league-wide, season-long view of opponent matchups for each fantasy position. Luckily for us, the SIS data hub has been tracking this for college athletes as well.